Emergency Planning

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Resilience is an illusion

Emergency Planning

After much pondering of the question, I have come to the conclusion that resilience is an illusion. This is not to denigrate the work of resilience managers, as there is obviously much to be done to reduce the risk and impact of adverse events. However, the concept of resilience is, I think, suspect. Many researchers who have adopted the concept when trying to interpret disaster risk reduction have followed the work of Crawford Stanley "Buzz" Holling, as expressed in his 1973 paper (Holling 1973

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A Proposed Strategy to Advocate for Improved Civil Protection in the United Kingdom

Emergency Planning

National elections in the United Kingdom are likely to bring a change in the political complexion of the government. This short essay puts the case for coming together to put pressure on the new leadership to improve British civil protection. The lessons of the Covid-19 pandemic, alas largely negative, show that a good civilian system designed to protect the public against major hazards and threats can save thousands of lives and billions in losses and wasted expenditure.

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The Vajont Dam Disaster, Sixty Years On

Emergency Planning

Normal 0 false false false EN-GB X-NONE AR-SA Vajont is located about 100 km due north of Venice in the eastern extension of the Italian Dolomite Mountains, a part of the Alpine arc. It is also situated on the boundary between the Italian regions of Veneto and Friuli Venezia-Giulia. The Vajont valley is an eastern lateral tributary to the Piave River, which flows into the Adriatic Sea northeast of the Venetian lagoon.

Tourism 130
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The real burden of risk

Emergency Planning

A piece of the Sanriku coast at Minamisanriku, NE Japan. In 2011 there was a 20.5-metre tsunami here. Normal 0 false false false EN-GB X-NONE AR-SA In 1966 the eminent Californian risk analyst Chauncey Starr published a seminal paper in Science Magazine in which he stated that "a thing is safe if its risks are judged to be acceptable." In effect, he built his reputation on the premise that the acceptability of risk is arbitrary.

Travel 147
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The United Kingdom's National Risk Register - 2023 Edition

Emergency Planning

Print 0 46 false false false EN-GB X-NONE AR-SA At the time of writing this, the UK Government has just released the 2023 edition of the National Risk Register (NRR, HM Government 2023). This document was first published in 2008 and has been updated (somewhat irregularly) at roughly two-year intervals. The new version presents 89 major hazards and threats that could potentially disrupt life in the United Kingdom and possibly cause casualties and damage.

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Prolonged, wide-area electrical power failure

Emergency Planning

What are the likely consequences of prolonged, wide-area electrical power failure? lifts [elevators] blocked: people possibly trapped in them trains stranded: people possibly stranded in them traffic control inoperable: possibility of accidents and queues at road junctions critical facilities (hospitals, police stations, etc.) dependent on their own generators food refrigeration stops: perished food needs to be disposed of food manufacture lines cease operation; food perishes no water or sewerag

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Reflections on the Turkish-Syrian Earthquakes of 6th February 2023: Building Collapse and its Consequences

Emergency Planning

Source: Wikimedia Commons An interesting map was published by the US Geological Survey shortly after the Turkish-Syrian earthquakes. [1] It showed (perhaps somewhat predictively) that there was only one tiny square of the vast affected area in which Modified Mercalli intensity (which is largely a measure of damage) reached 9.0, the 'violent' level. [2] This is--just about--enough to damage very significantly a well-engineered structure (but not necessarily enough to bring it crashing down).