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Covid-19: Elements of a Scenario

Emergency Planning

It is now more than ten years since there was a general push to induce countries to plan for pandemics (WHO 2005). US Homeland Security Council 2005, UK Government 2008), while in others it did not. That was at a time when an influenza pandemic with devastating consequences was greatly feared.

Pandemic 130
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State of the Nation - a UK Perspective on Covid-19

Emergency Planning

Since the start of the crisis, I have constantly affirmed that the key to understanding the effects of this pandemic is the UK Government's failure to give adequate weight to emergency planning and management (Alexander 2020a, 2020b). The scenario for this pandemic (excluding the recovery) was fully formulated over the period 2003-2009.