Remove 2013 Remove All-Hazards Remove Natural Hazard Remove Vulnerability
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Resilience is an illusion

Emergency Planning

Previously (Alexander 2013), I thought that Holling was wrong about resilience. Secondly, and more importantly, vulnerability, risk, impact and their controlling factors are all trending. Migration, conflict, climate extremes, proliferating technological failure and associated consequences all pose this kind of threat.

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Foresight

Emergency Planning

A principle of cascading disasters is that the world is ever more closely linked by networks on which we all depend for communications, commerce, enlightenment and entertainment. The cascade is a result of the progression of a shock through different kinds of vulnerability. References Fukuyama, F. The End of History and the Last Man.

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The 2019 Global Assessment Report (GAR)

Emergency Planning

An example of this for the 2013 GAR can be found in Di Mauro (2014). It could be argued that political decision making is the greatest barrier of all to successful disaster risk reduction. Unofficial voices have suggested that the 'cure to damage ratio' for natural hazards is 1:43. GNCSODR 2015.

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Towards a Taxonomy of Disasters

Emergency Planning

The study of disasters is a 'lateral discipline' that, to varying degrees embraces at least 42 other disciplines and professions (Alexander 2013). d) Intentional disasters, comprising all forms of terrorism and sabotage. (e) Na-techs' (natural-technological disasters) appear in this category (Krausmann et al. Alexander, D.